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Crown Green Handicap

Alf Thomas

Team: Lane Ends CDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

548

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

33

Matches Played

2

Wins

31

Losses

6%

Win Rate

13.0

Avg Win Margin

11.9

Avg Loss Margin

1-16

Home Record

1-15

Away Record

65%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
33 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 6/24/2026

A solid recent sample: 33 of 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player3/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 33 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

1 May26 Jun9 Apr14 May22 Jul19 Aug21 Apr24 Jun-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
6%
score-0.88→contribution-0.35
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
13.0
score+0.83→contribution+0.21
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
11.9
score-0.66→contribution-0.10
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
5%
score-0.90→contribution-0.09
Opponent Strength(10%)
717
score-1.00→contribution-0.10
Weighted Score-0.432
Sample Size Confidence
65%(33/41 matches)
Rating871 → shrunk 916→ adjusted 566
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)521
Recency Blend40% (33 recent matches)
Final Rating548
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

2W31L33 matches·6.1% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Lane Ends C2024–2026Division 3332316.1%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
6/24/2026Jim StottA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
6/10/2026Ken LethbridgeA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
5/26/2026S MoonA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 3
5/5/2026AbsentA21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 3
4/29/2026John StampH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
4/21/2026James RobertsA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 3
4/7/2026Andy PattieA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 3
9/2/2025Alan WrightA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 3
8/26/2025Ken WoodsH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 3
8/19/2025Andrew CharnockA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
8/13/2025Ged FillinghamH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
8/5/2025David HullA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 3
7/30/2025Ian GerrardH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 3
7/22/2025Ken GreenallA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 3
7/16/2025David DuffyH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
7/8/2025George MontgomeryA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
6/11/2025Kevin CunninghamH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
5/20/2025Geoff ParrA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
5/14/2025Alan KeenH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
5/7/2025Alan KearnsA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
4/30/2025Paul DolanH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
4/23/2025Terry JonesH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
4/9/2025Julian CliffeH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 3
7/24/2024Keith WalshH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
7/17/2024Ian GerrardH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
7/2/2024David CothamA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
6/26/2024L JonesH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
6/12/2024Harry OrrettH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 3
6/4/2024Ray IllingA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 3
5/14/2024Martin FostersA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 3
5/1/2024Jimmy NolanH3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 3
4/24/2024Les RobertsH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
4/10/2024Julian CliffeH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

3losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

17

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLLWL
Last 1010% win rate— steady
LLLWLLLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ian Gerrard0220%7/30/2025
Julian Cliffe0220%4/9/2025
Jim Stott0110%6/24/2026
Ken Lethbridge0110%6/10/2026
S Moon0110%5/26/2026
Absent101100%5/5/2026
John Stamp0110%4/29/2026
James Roberts0110%4/21/2026
Andy Pattie0110%4/7/2026
Alan Wright0110%9/2/2025
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)5/5/2026
Heaviest Defeat
S Moon (-19)5/26/2026
Best Season
20256% · 16 matches
Worst Season
20240% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
6% → 6%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
71733 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-316% win rate
Division 36.1%
2W·31L·33 played

Debut

Apr 10, 2024

Latest

Jun 24, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (2.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

11.0 (33 total)

Seasons

202420252026